Paddy acts on multiple surfaces; how many others could?

12 thoughts on “Paddy acts on multiple surfaces; how many others could?”

  1. Just some of the BC Contenders:
    Many can:Zenyatta Dirt and AW:
    Looking At Lucky:Dirt and AW:
    Awesome Gem:All Surfaces
    Eldaafer:All Surfaces
    Giant Oak:All Surfaces
    Evening Jewel:All Surfaces
    Blind Luck:Dirt and AW
    Biondetti:Turf and AW:
    And you have the Two Candies:Sidney and Twirling Turf and AW:
    Hurricane Ike:All Surfaces
    Tropic Storm:All
    Thats quite a few through just a couple races

  2. Sid,

    I would not be surprised if trainer or owner bias kept many horses from excelling at the races.

    Good list Larry.

  3. Paddy O’Prado is representative of a narrow group of horses which is by far the most likely to succeed on multiple surfaces. He is by a sire that is exceptionally versatile in his ability to get both dirt and turf runners, and he is a very high-class horse. Lookin’ at Lucky falls into exactly the same category.

    POP’s success on both surfaces has little to do with Dale Romans, though Romans has obviously done a fine job managing the colt.

    I don’t dispute that some high-class runners would adapt to different surfaces given sufficient opportunities, but for every Paddy O’Prado, there are countless turf horses which train regularly on dirt, have been given opportunities by their connections to race on dirt, yet fail to approach (let alone reproduce) their turf form on such surfaces.

    So, to answer to your question, some could handle multiple surfaces, but even in the case of higher class runners, the most important remaining variables – pedigree, conformation and action – are certain to keep the percentages of horses capable of handling dirt and turf equally well quite low.

  4. This is so true Sid. I am almost positive that Hard Spun could’ve given Lure and Miesque a run for their money, but unfortunately he was never given a chance.

    Could the reason be that should a horse “bomb” on a particular surface his stud value will drop, hence it is best to not try at all.

    This is one more example of how racing gets in its own way.

    Good post.

  5. Paddy hasn’t got a snowballs chance in hell of winning the classic. He is a just a good horse in a below average 3 yr old crop of horses. He would need the main pretagonists to way underperform and there are so many horses better than him. If the track is fast, there will be no catching Quality Road a slow or wet rack brings in Zenyatta and Blame, not to even mention Lucky. Paddy won’t be in the first three, I don’t see how running in this race enhances his value anyhow, to retire to stud for any decent ammount of $$$ he needs to race next year and win some G1’s on dirt.

  6. The plan is to race him next year, too, Shamrocked. And you answered your own question of why he’s running in the race: he needs to win a G1 on dirt to enhance his value.

    So, there you have it. If you don’t run in the race, no chance to win, right?

  7. Hmm maybe I am missing something.
    Running Paddy in the race will expose him for what he is, this won’t enhance his value.
    Waiting until next year until Quality Road, Lucky and Blame retire keep the horse fresh and maybe he could pick up the Donn Handicap.

  8. No question it’s a tall order, but what if he were to somehow win? beating QR, Z, others would make his value soar, right? So that’s the gamble they are taking, just as, say, you might play a 30-1 shot in a race. No risk, no reward, right? And sometimes a longshot does win. Arcangues?

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